When Deportivo Alavés travels to Madrid to face Atlético Madrid on Sunday, January 18, the spotlight won’t only be on the title contenders. For bettors and football fans alike, one quieter question sits in the background: can Facundo Tenaglia make a rare impact on the scoresheet?
With kickoff scheduled for 10:15 AM ET at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, this LaLiga fixture shapes up as a classic contrast — a struggling Alavés side against one of Spain’s most defensively disciplined teams. Below is a clear breakdown of Tenaglia’s form, the scoring trends behind both clubs, and what Australian readers should know before considering anytime goalscorer markets.
Alavés Enter Madrid Searching for Momentum
Deportivo Alavés comes into this match off a tough road loss. In their most recent outing, they were beaten 3–1 by Villarreal CF away from home.
Despite the result, Alavés were not short on effort. They registered 16 shots in total, outshooting Villarreal by five. The final scoreline, however, reflected familiar issues for the club this season — plenty of work rate, but limited end product in front of goal.
For Australian fans following LaLiga through streaming platforms such as Fubo, this match represents another test of whether Alavés can translate attacking volume into tangible returns.
Facundo Tenaglia’s Scoring Profile This Season
Facundo Tenaglia is not typically a name associated with regular goals, and his 2026–27 season numbers reinforce that reality.
So far this LaLiga campaign, Tenaglia has scored one goal for Deportivo Alavés. He has not recorded an assist. From a data perspective, his output aligns closely with expectation rather than luck.
His expected goals (xG) total currently sits at 0.1, which is broadly consistent with his single goal. In practical terms, this suggests his scoring contribution matches the quality of chances he has been involved in, rather than overperforming or underperforming.
Tenaglia has attempted six shots across the season, averaging 0.3 shots per match. That low volume underlines why anytime goalscorer odds for him are typically long, particularly against elite opposition.
Atlético Madrid’s Defensive Wall
Any discussion about scoring odds must begin with Atlético Madrid’s defensive record.
After 19 LaLiga matches, Atlético sits first in the league for goals conceded. They have allowed just 17 goals, an average of 0.9 per game. Diego Simeone’s side remains one of Europe’s most structured defensive units, especially at home.
From an Australian betting perspective, this matters. Anytime goalscorer markets often tighten significantly against Atlético, particularly for players outside the attacking core of opposition teams.
Where Alavés Stand in Front of Goal
Deportivo Alavés has struggled to find the net consistently this season. They rank 17th in LaLiga for goals scored, with 16 goals in total — an average of 0.8 per match.
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At the same time, their defence has been serviceable rather than dominant. Alavés has conceded 24 goals across 19 matches, placing them eighth in the league for goals allowed.
This combination leaves the club 14th in LaLiga for goal differential, with 16 goals scored and 24 conceded. It paints a picture of a side that remains competitive but often comes out second-best against stronger opponents.
Atlético Madrid’s Attacking Balance
While Atlético Madrid is best known for defence, their attack has been quietly effective.
The Madrid club has scored 34 goals in 19 league matches, ranking fourth in LaLiga for goals scored. Their +17 goal differential reflects a team that not only limits damage but also capitalises when opportunities arise.
For Alavés, that means extended periods without the ball and limited forward transitions — conditions that rarely favour defenders like Tenaglia pushing into scoring positions.
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Match Details at a Glance
Fixture: Deportivo Alavés at Atlético Madrid
Date: January 18, 2026
Time: 10:15 AM ET
Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Australian viewers should note local broadcast and streaming times may differ depending on provider.
How Australian Bettors May View the Market
From an Australian wagering perspective, Tenaglia’s anytime goalscorer odds reflect a high-risk scenario.
His limited shot volume, defensive role, and Atlético’s league-leading defensive numbers combine to suppress scoring probability. While unexpected goals do happen in football, the statistical case remains conservative.
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As always, odds can move quickly, and prices are accurate only at the time of publication.
A Reminder on Gambling Responsibility
Gambling involves financial risk and should only be undertaken with funds you can afford to lose. While statistics and analysis can inform decisions, no outcome is guaranteed.
All betting markets fluctuate, and past performances do not predict future results. This content is intended to inform and educate, not to encourage gambling activity.
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Australians should ensure they comply with local laws and regulations governing sports betting in their state or territory. Support services are available for anyone experiencing gambling-related harm.
Final Word
Facundo Tenaglia’s goal against Atlético Madrid would be a genuine surprise rather than an expectation. His season numbers are modest, Alavés’ scoring struggles persist, and Atlético’s defence remains among the strongest in Spain.
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For Australian fans tracking LaLiga and associated player markets, this fixture is less about chasing unlikely outcomes and more about understanding how form, role, and opposition shape realistic probabilities — especially in a league where fine margins decide everything.